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NC Election Poll Survey Results: Kay Hagan vs. GOP challengers

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Time Warner Cable News conducted an election poll survey across North Carolina during the final week of March. Results of the poll will be updated throughout the week and catch an analysis of responses on Capital Tonight at 7 p.m.

• Do you approve or disapprove of the job Kay Hagan is doing as United States Senator?

50% Disapprove
38% Approve
12% Not Sure

Click here for survey statistics

• If the Republican Primary for United States Senator from North Carolina were today, and you were filling out your Republican primary ballot now, who would you vote for?

23% Thom Tillis
15% Greg Brannon
11% Mark Harris
6% Heather Grant
6% Ted Alexander
3% Jim Snyder
2% Edward Kryn
1% Alex Lee Bradshaw
34% Undecided

Click here for survey statistics

• If the November election for United States Senator from North Carolina were today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Republican Thom Tillis and Democrat Kay Hagan, who would you vote for?

46% Tillis (R)
45% Hagan (D)
9% Undecided

Click here for survey statistics

• If the only two candidates were Republican Greg Brannon and Democrat Kay Hagan, who would you vote for?

47% Brannon (R)
45% Hagan (D)
9% Undecided

Click here for survey statistics

• If the only two candidates were Republican Heather Grant and Democrat Kay Hagan, who would you vote for?

46% Grant (R)
44% Hagan (D)
10% Undecided

Click here for survey statistics

• If the only two candidates were Republican Ted Alexander and Democrat Kay Hagan, who would you vote for?

46% Alexander (R)
44% Hagan (D)
10% Undecided

Click here for survey statistics

• If the only two candidates were Republican Mark Harris and Democrat Kay Hagan, who would you vote for?

47% Harris (R)
43% Hagan (D)
10% Undecided

Click here for survey statistics

About the Poll:

SurveyUSA interviewed 2,200 North Carolina adults 03/27/14 through 03/31/14. Of the adults, 1,930 were registered to vote. Of the registered, SurveyUSA determined that 433 were likely to vote in the 05/06/14 Republican Primary, and only those likely Republican Primary voters were asked the Republican Primary questions. A larger group of 1,489 likely general election voters was asked about the head-to-head November match-ups. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (78% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (22% of registered voters), were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

Statement of Methodology: This poll was conducted by telephone in the voice of a professional announcer. Respondent households were selected at random, using Random Digit Dialed (RDD) sample provided by Survey Sampling, of Fairfield CT. All respondents heard the questions asked identically. The pollster's report includes the geography that was surveyed; the date(s) interviews were conducted, the number of respondents who answered each question and the theoretical margin of sampling error for each question. Where necessary, respondents were weighted using the most recent US Census estimates for age, gender, ethnic origin and region, to align the sample to the population. In theory, one can say with 95% certainty that the results would not vary by more than the stated margin of sampling error, in one direction or the other, had the entire universe of respondents with home telephones been interviewed with complete accuracy. There are other possible sources of error in all surveys that may be more serious than sampling error. These include: the difficulty of interviewing respondents who do not have a home telephone; the refusal by some with home telephones to be interviewed; the order in which questions are asked; the wording of questions; the way and extent to which data are weighted; and the manner in which specialized populations, such as likely voters, are determined. It is difficult to quantify the errors that may result from these and other factors. Research methodology, questionnaire design and fieldwork for this survey were completed by SurveyUSA of Clifton, NJ. This statement conforms to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

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